Urgency of controlling agricultural nitrogen sources to alleviate summertime air pollution in the North China Plain.

Agricultural nitrogen sources (ANS) have played an increasingly important role in the air quality since ANS emission controls are much weaker than those for fossil fuel combustion sources due to the increasing food demand. However, ANS emissions are highly uncertain due to stochastic agricultural management activities and limited field measurements, and impacts of ANS on the air quality remain elusive. In the study, the WRF-Chem model has been used to investigate ANS shares in near surface air pollutant concentrations during a growing season in the North China Plain (NCP), with ANS emissions constrained by satellite retrievals. Soil NOX and agricultural NH3 emissions are about 36% and 92% of their total emissions during the growing season. Sensitivity studies demonstrate that ANS count 16.9 µg m-3 (9.9%) of the mean maximum daily average 8-h ozone concentrations (MDA8 [O3]) and 8.9 µg m-3 (31.7%) of fine particulate matter concentrations ([PM2.5]) on average in the NCP. Additionally, the contributions of ANS to MDA8 [O3] and [PM2.5] increase with the deterioration of air pollution in cities. A 50% emission reduction in ANS decreases MDA8 [O3] ([PM2.5]) from 4.2% to 8.4% (from 19.7% to 31.9%) when the air quality changes from being lightly to heavily polluted in terms of MDA8 [O3] (hourly [PM2.5]). Without fossil fuel combustion emissions, the simulated average MDA8 [O3] and [PM2.5] are 111.7 and 8.2 µg m-3 in cities of the NCP, respectively, exceeding the new standards from the World Health Organization. Our study highlights important contributions of ANS to air quality and the urgency of ANS emission abatement for air pollution alleviation during summertime in the NCP.

The relationship between the intensified heat waves and deteriorated summertime ozone pollution in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, China, during 2013-2017.

Summertime ozone (O3) pollution has frequently occurred in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) region, China, since 2013, resulting in detrimental impacts on human health and ecosystems. The contribution of weather shifts to O3 concentration variability owing to climate change remains elusive. By combining regional air chemistry model simulations with near-surface observations, we found that anthropogenic emission changes contributed to approximately 23% of the increase in maximum daily 8-h average O3 concentrations in the BTH region in June-July-August (JJA) 2017 (compared with that in 2013). With respect to the weather shift influence, the frequencies, durations, and magnitudes of O3 exceedance were consistent with those of the heat wave events in the BTH region during JJA in 2013-2017. Intensified heat waves are a significant driver for worsening O3 pollution. In particular, the prolonged duration of heat waves creates consecutive adverse weather conditions that cause O3 accumulation and severe O3 pollution. Our results suggest that the variability in extreme summer heat is closely related to the occurrence of high O3 concentrations, which is a significant driver of deteriorating O3 pollution.

Why is the air humid during wintertime heavy haze days in Beijing?

Atmospheric humidity has been shown to promote haze formation, but it remains unclear why the air is humid during heavy haze days in winter. Here we combine water vapor isotope measurements with WRF-Chem simulations to elucidate increasing humidity with aggravation of haze during wintertime in urban Beijing. The vapor isotopic analysis in Beijing shows that the combustion-derived water (CDW) constitutes 11.0± 6.2 % of the atmospheric moisture and its fraction in total moisture increases with aggravation of haze. Modeling results reveal that, in addition to the water vapor transported from south or east to Beijing with occurrence of haze, CDW has a considerable impact on the increasing humidity when haze becomes heavy or severe. Aerosol-radiation interactions generally decrease the water vapor content and only increase humidity with occurrence of severe haze with hourly PM2.5 concentrations exceeding 250µg m-3. Although CDW is insignificant in the global atmospheric vapor budget, it could play an important role in modifying the local weather during haze days.

The Heavy Particulate Matter Pollution During the COVID-19 Lockdown Period in the Guanzhong Basin, China.

Nationwide restrictions on human activities (lockdown) in China since 23 January 2020, to control the 2019 novel coronavirus disease pandemic (COVID-19), has provided an opportunity to evaluate the effect of emission mitigation on particulate matter (PM) pollution. The WRF-Chem simulations of persistent heavy PM pollution episodes from 20 January to 14 February 2020, in the Guanzhong Basin (GZB), northwest China, reveal that large-scale emission reduction of primary pollutants has not substantially improved the air quality during the COVID-19 lockdown period. Simultaneous reduction of primary precursors during the lockdown period only decreases the near-surface PM2.5 mass concentration by 11.6% (12.6 µg m-3), but increases ozone (O3) concentration by 9.2% (5.5 µg m-3) in the GZB. The primary organic aerosol and nitrate are the major contributor to the decreased PM2.5 in the GZB, with the reduction of 28.0% and 21.8%, respectively, followed by EC (10.1%) and ammonium (7.2%). The increased atmospheric oxidizing capacity by the O3 enhancement facilitates the secondary aerosol (SA) formation in the GZB, increasing secondary organic aerosol and sulphate by 6.5% and 3.3%, respectively. Furthermore, sensitivity experiments suggest that combined emission reduction of NOX and VOCs following the ratio of 1:1 is conducive to lowering the wintertime SA and O3 concentration and further alleviating the PM pollution in the GZB.

Heterogeneous HONO formation deteriorates the wintertime particulate pollution in the Guanzhong Basin, China.

Despite implementation of strict emission mitigation measures since 2013, heavy haze with high levels of secondary aerosols still frequently engulfs the Guanzhong Basin (GZB), China, during wintertime, remarkably impairing visibility and potentially causing severe health issues. Although the observed low ozone (O3) concentrations do not facilitate the photochemical formation of secondary aerosols, the measured high nitrous acid (HONO) level provides an alternate pathway in the GZB. The impact of heterogeneous HONO sources on the wintertime particulate pollution and atmospheric oxidizing capability (AOC) is evaluated in the GZB. Simulations by the Weather Research and Forecast model coupled with Chemistry (WRF-Chem) reveal that the observed high levels of nitrate and secondary organic aerosols (SOA) are reproduced when both homogeneous and heterogeneous HONO sources are considered. The heterogeneous sources (HET-sources) contribute about 98% of the near-surface HONO concentration in the GZB, increasing the hydroxyl radical (OH) and O3 concentration by 39.4% and 22.0%, respectively. The average contribution of the HET-sources to SOA, nitrate, ammonium, and sulfate in the GZB is 35.6%, 20.6%, 12.1%, and 6.0% during the particulate pollution episode, respectively, enhancing the mass concentration of fine particulate matters (PM2.5) by around 12.2%. Our results suggest that decreasing HONO level or the AOC becomes an effective pathway to alleviate the wintertime particulate pollution in the GZB.

Effects of hydroperoxy radical heterogeneous loss on the summertime ozone formation in the North China Plain.

Hydroperoxy radical (HO2) is a crucial oxidant participating in the oxidation of nitrogen oxide to nitrogen dioxide which constitutes one of the most important pathways for the ozone (O3) photochemical formation in the troposphere. Laboratory experiments and field observations have revealed efficient HO2 heterogeneous uptake on wet aerosols, but its impact on the O3 formation remains controversial. A severe and persistent O3 pollution episode has been simulated using the WRF-Chem model to evaluate the impacts of the HO2 heterogeneous loss on the O3 formation in the North China Plain (NCP) during the summertime of 2018. Comparisons between experimental simulations with the HO2 effective uptake coefficient of 0.2 and 0.0 shows that the HO2 heterogeneous loss decreases the daytime HO2 and maximum daily average 8-hour (MDA8) O3 concentrations by about 5% and 1% in the NCP, respectively. Emission mitigation from 2013 to 2018 is found to contribute a 2.1 µg m-3 (5%) increase in the MDA8 O3 concentration due to decreased aerosol sink for the HO2 heterogeneous loss in the NCP. Our results reveal that decreased HO2 heterogeneous uptake does not constitute an important factor driving the O3 trend since 2013 in the NCP.

Cropland nitrogen dioxide emissions and effects on the ozone pollution in the North China plain.

Soil nitrogen dioxide (NOX = NO2 + NO) emissions have been measured and estimated to be the second most significant contributor to the NOX burden following the fossil fuel combustion source globally. NOX emissions from croplands are subject to being underestimated or overlooked in air pollution simulations of regional atmospheric chemistry models. With constraints of ground and space observations of NO2, the WRF-Chem model is used to investigate the cropland NOX emission and its contribution to the near-surface ozone (O3) pollution in North China Plain (NCP) during a growing season as a case study. Model simulations have revealed that the cropland NOX emissions are underestimated by around 80% without constraints of satellite measured NO2 column densities. The biogenic NOX source is estimated to account for half of the anthropogenic NOX emissions in the NCP during the growing season. Additionally, the cropland NOX source contributes around 5.0% of the maximum daily average 8h O3 concentration and 27.7% of NO2 concentration in the NCP. Our results suggest the agriculture NOX emission exerts non-negligible impacts on the summertime air quality and needs to be considered when designing emission abatement strategies.

Local and transboundary transport contributions to the wintertime particulate pollution in the Guanzhong Basin (GZB), China: A case study.

Heavy haze with high levels of fine particulate matters (PM2.5) frequently engulfs the Guanzhong Basin (GZB) in northwestern China during wintertime. Although it is an enclosed basin with a narrow opening to the east, prevailing easterly winds during heavy haze episodes have a large potential to bring air pollutants to the GZB from the two highly polluted neighboring provinces of Shanxi and Henan (SX&HN). The source-oriented WRF-Chem model simulations of a persistent and heavy haze episode that occurred in the GZB from December 6 to 21, 2016, reveal that local emissions dominate PM2.5 concentrations in the GZB, with an average near-surface PM2.5 contribution of about 56.0% during the episode. The transboundary transport of emissions from SX&HN accounts for around 22.2% of the total PM2.5 in the GZB. Furthermore, with the deterioration of the air quality in the GZB from being slightly polluted to severely polluted in terms of hourly PM2.5 concentration, transboundary transport of emissions from SX&HN plays an increasingly important role in the particulate pollution, with the average PM2.5 contribution increasing from 8.0% to 27.5%. Compared with the source-oriented method (SOM), the brute force method (BFM) overestimates the contribution of GZB local emissions and transboundary transport of emissions from SX&HN to the total PM2.5 in the GZB. In addition, the BFM-estimated NH3 contribution of transboundary transport of emissions from SX&HN is negative, indicating the limitation of the BFM in source apportionment. Our results suggest that cooperative emission mitigation strategies with neighboring provinces are beneficial for lowering the particulate pollution in the GZB, particularly under severely polluted conditions.

Increasing atmospheric oxidizing capacity weakens emission mitigation effort in Beijing during autumn haze events.

Although strict mitigation measures have been implemented since 2013 in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH), China, air pollution still frequently occurs. Observations reveal that during pollution episodes in autumn, fine particulate matter (PM2.5) concentrations have not decreased, and particularly, ozone (O3) concentrations have increased remarkably from 2013 to 2015 in Beijing. Additionally, a concurrence of O3 and particulate pollution with high secondary aerosol contributions has been observed frequently, indicating high atmospheric oxidizing capacity (AOC) during particulate pollution. The WRF-Chem model simulations show elevated O3 concentrations and high fractions of oxygenated secondary aerosols (OSA) in PM2.5 (0.53-0.73) during the severe pollution period. During daytime there exhibits an AOC-sufficient regime with the persistently high OSA fraction and an AOC-deficient regime with varied OSA fractions, separated by the O3 level of 80 µg m-3. Our results suggest that increasing AOC can considerably weaken the emission mitigation effort by enhancing the secondary aerosol formation.

Mitigating NOX emissions does not help alleviate wintertime particulate pollution in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, China.

Stringent mitigation measures have reduced wintertime fine particulate matter (PM2.5) concentrations by 42.2% from 2013 to 2018 in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) region, but severe PM pollution still frequently engulfs the region. The observed nitrate aerosols have not exhibited a significant decreasing trend and constituted a major fraction (about 20%) of the total PM2.5, although the surface-measured NO2 concentration has decreased by over 20%. The contributions of nitrogen oxides (NOX) emissions mitigation to the nitrate and PM2.5 concentrations and how to alleviate nitrate aerosols efficiently under the current situation still remains elusive. The WRF-Chem model simulations of a persistent and heavy PM pollution episode in January 2019 in the BTH reveal that NOX emissions mitigation does not help lower wintertime nitrate and PM2.5 concentrations under current conditions in the BTH. A 50% reduction in NOX emissions only decreases nitrate mass by 10.3% but increases PM2.5 concentrations by 3.2%, because the substantial O3 increase induced by NOX mitigation offsets the HNO3 loss and enhances sulfate and secondary organic aerosols formation. Our results are further consolidated by the occurrence of severe PM pollution in the BTH during the COVID-19 outbreak, with a significant reduction in NO2 concentration. Mitigation of NH3 emissions constitutes the priority measure to effectively lower the nitrate and PM2.5 concentrations in the BTH under current conditions, with 35.5% and 12.7% decrease, respectively, when NH3 emissions are reduced by 50%.

Wintertime nitrate formation pathways in the north China plain: Importance of N2O5 heterogeneous hydrolysis.

Strict emission control measures have been implemented in the North China Plain (NCP) to improve air quality since 2013. However, heavy particulate matter (PM) pollution still frequently occurs in the region especially during wintertime, and the nitrate contribution to fine PM (PM2.5) has substantially increased in recent several years. Nitrate aerosols, which are formed via nitric acid (HNO3) to balance inorganic cations in the particle phase, have become a major fraction of PM2.5 during wintertime haze events in the NCP. HNO3 is mainly produced through homogeneous (NO2+OH, NO3+VOCs) and heterogeneous pathways (N2O5 heterogeneous hydrolysis) in the atmosphere, but the contribution of the two pathways to the nitrate formation remains elusive. In this study, the Weather Research and Forecasting model with Chemistry (WRF-Chem) was applied to simulate a heavy haze episode from 16 to December 31, 2016 in the North China Plain, and the source-oriented method (SOM) and brute force method (BFM) were both used to evaluate contributions of the heterogeneous pathway to the nitrate formation. The results demonstrated that the near-surface nitrate contributions of the heterogeneous pathway were about 30.8% based on the BFM, and 51.6% based on the SOM, indicating that the BFM might be subject to underestimating importance of the heterogeneous pathway to the nitrate formation. The SOM simulations further showed that the heterogeneous pathway dominated the nighttime HNO3 production in the planetary boundary layer, with an average contribution of 83.0%. Although N2O5 was photolytically liable during daytime, the heterogeneous N2O5 hydrolysis still contributed 10.1% of HNO3, which was caused by substantial attenuation of incident solar radiation by clouds and high PM2.5 mass loading. Our study highlighted the significantly important role of N2O5 heterogeneous hydrolysis in the nitrate formation during wintertime haze days.

Aerosol-photolysis interaction reduces particulate matter during wintertime haze events.

Aerosol-radiation interaction (ARI) plays a significant role in the accumulation of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) by stabilizing the planetary boundary layer and thus deteriorating air quality during haze events. However, modification of photolysis by aerosol scattering or absorbing solar radiation (aerosol-photolysis interaction or API) alters the atmospheric oxidizing capacity, decreases the rate of secondary aerosol formation, and ultimately alleviates the ARI effect on PM2.5 pollution. Therefore, the synergetic effect of both ARI and API can either aggravate or even mitigate PM2.5 pollution. To test the effect, a fully coupled Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF)-Chem model has been used to simulate a heavy haze episode in North China Plain. Our results show that ARI contributes to a 7.8% increase in near-surface PM2.5 However, API suppresses secondary aerosol formation, and the combination of ARI and API results in only 4.8% net increase of PM2.5 Additionally, API increases the solar radiation reaching the surface and perturbs aerosol nucleation and activation to form cloud condensation nuclei, influencing aerosol-cloud interaction. The results suggest that API reduces PM2.5 pollution during haze events, but adds uncertainties in climate prediction.

Impact of synoptic patterns and meteorological elements on the wintertime haze in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, China from 2013 to 2017.

Meteorological conditions play a key role in formation of air pollution, determining dispersion or accumulation of air pollutants. Aggressive emission mitigation measures have been taken recently in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region (BTH), China, but pervasive and persistent haze still frequently engulfs this region during wintertime. Occurrence frequency of unfavorable meteorological conditions in winter is anticipated to constitute a significantly important factor in driving the heavy haze formation in BTH. Large scale synoptic patterns influencing BTH during the wintertime from 2013 to 2017 are categorized into six types, including "north-low", "southwest-trough", "southeast-high", "southeast-trough", "transition", and "inland-high" using the NCEP reanalysis data. "Southwest-trough" and "southeast-high" are defined as favorable synoptic patterns and the remaining four categories are unfavorable ones based on FLEXPART simulations. Compared to measurements of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) in BTH, favorable synoptic conditions generally correspond to the low level or decreasing trend of PM2.5 concentrations while under unfavorable conditions PM2.5 concentrations are high or increasing. Occurrence of wintertime haze episodes in BTH correlates well with the evolution trend of unfavorable synoptic patterns from 2013 to 2017 although the anthropogenic emissions have substantially decreased. PM2.5 concentrations also exhibit correlations with local meteorological elements, including winds, temperature, and relative humidity, which are ultimately steered by large scale synoptic situations. The WRF-Chem model simulations further reveal the critical role of large-scale synoptic patterns in the heavy haze formation. Overall, under unfavorable synoptic situations, emission mitigation is the best choice to improve the air quality in BTH.

High time resolution observation of PM2.5 Brown carbon over Xi'an in northwestern China: Seasonal variation and source apportionment.

There is growing evidence suggesting the enhancement of brown carbon (BrC) in severe haze episodes. In this study, hourly measurements of BrC in PM2.5 were conducted in Xi'an, a typical city in northwestern China during winter and summer. The absorption coefficient for methanol exacts at 365 nm (babs365, methanol, which is typically used as a proxy of methanol-soluble BrC) in the winter sampling period was over 7 times than that in summer. The mass absorption cross-section for methanol extracts (MAC365, methanol, normalized by babs365, methanol to organic carbon, OC) in winter sampling period was nearly 1.5 times of that in the summer. During the winter haze days, the average babs365,methanol peaked at midnight and the lowest values in the morning, in contrast to high levels in afternoon and low levels at night in non haze days. Unlike the diurnal patterns in winter, summer babs365, methanol diurnal variation presented high midday and low afternoon levels in haze days. However, in non haze days, the pattern showed high morning levels and night low levels. Haze and non haze variations of chemical species levels, babs365, methanol, and MAC365, methanol during winter and summer sampling time showed that the effects of atmospheric aging were complex and could either enhance or reduce light absorption of BrC. Source apportionment based on positive matrix factorization receptor model and multiple linear regressions showed that primary emission was an important contributor to BrC emissions during the winter sampling period, whereas secondary formation played an important role in summer.

Wintertime nitrate formation during haze days in the Guanzhong basin, China: A case study.

In this study, the formation of nitrate aerosol from 16 to 24 December 2015 in the Guanzhong basin, China is simulated using the WRF-Chem model. The predicted near-surface O3, NO2, and fine particulate matters (PM2.5) in the basin and inorganic aerosols and nitrous acid (HONO) in Xi'an are generally in good agreement with the observations. Sensitivity studies show that the heterogeneous HONO sources play an appreciable role in the nitrate formation in the basin, contributing 9.2% of nitrate mass concentrations during heavy haze days. Nitrate formation is also affected by sulfate due to their competition for ammonia, particularly in urban areas. A 50% decrease in SO2 emissions enhances the nitrate concentration by 6.2% during heavy haze days on average in the basin, and a 50% increase in SO2 emission reduces the nitrate concentration by 9.7%. The roles of HONO and sulfate competition in nitrate formation are strongly modulated by ammonia. Agricultural emissions predominate the nitrate level in the basin (93.5%), but the non-agricultural sources cannot substantially influence nitrate formation (3.7%-14.6%). Reducing agricultural emission is an effective control strategy to mitigate nitrate pollution in the basin.

Impacts of sea-land and mountain-valley circulations on the air pollution in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH): A case study.

In the study, observational data analyses and the WRF-CHEM model simulations are used to investigate the role of sea-land and mountain-valley breeze circulations in a severe air pollution event occurred in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) during August 9-10, 2013. Both the wind observations and the model simulations have clearly indicated the evolution of the sea-land and mountain-valley breeze circulations during the event. The WRF-CHEM model generally reproduces the local meteorological circulations and also performs well in simulating temporal variations and spatial distributions of fine particulate matters (PM2.5) and ozone (O3) concentrations compared to observations in BTH. The model results have shown that the offshore land breeze transports the pollutants formed in Shandong province to the Bohai Gulf in the morning, causing the formation of high O3 and PM2.5 concentrations over the gulf. The onshore sea breeze not only causes the formation of a convergence zone to induce upward movement, mitigating the surface pollution to some degree, also recirculates the pollutants over the gulf to deteriorate the air quality in the coastal area. The upward valley breeze brings the pollutants in the urban area of Beijing to the mountain area in the afternoon, and the downward mountain breeze transports the pollutants back during nighttime. The intensity of the mountain-valley breeze circulation is weak compared to the land-sea breeze circulation in BTH. It is worth noting that the local circulations play an important role when the large-scale meteorological conditions are relatively weak.

Impacts of local circulations on the wintertime air pollution in the Guanzhong Basin, China.

Urbanization and industrialization in the recent 30years have caused frequent heavy haze pollution in the Guanzhong basin, China during wintertime. Based on the categorized large-scale synoptic situations, the local circulation and its impact on the air pollution in the basin have been investigated using observational data analyses and model simulations with the WRF-CHEM model. The simulated mountain-valley breeze circulations are well established under most of the large-scale synoptic situations in the south-north direction. The downward mountain-breeze not only causes the convergence zone in the basin but also tends to bring the pollutants back from the mountain areas to the basin and enhance pollutants concentrations in the evening. The intensity of the mountain-valley breeze circulations may be different under different synoptic situations, but in general, aside emissions, every pollution event is the synthetic result of the synoptic situation at the large scale and the local circulation at the small scale in the Guanzhong basin.

Critical role of meteorological conditions in a persistent haze episode in the Guanzhong basin, China.

In the present study, the critical role of the meteorological condition in a persistent extreme haze episode that occurred in Guanzhong basin of China on December 16 to 25, 2013 has been investigated. Analyses of the large-scale meteorological conditions on 850hPa during the episode have been performed using the NCEP FNL data set, indicating that synoptic situations generally facilitate the accumulation of pollutants either in horizontal or vertical directions in the basin. The FLEXPART model has been utilized to illustrate the pollutant transport patterns during the episode, further showing the dominant role of synoptic conditions in accumulation of pollutants in the basin. Detailed meteorological conditions, such as temperature inversion, and low-level horizontal wind speed also contribute to the extreme haze episode. In addition, the WRF-CHEM model has been used to evaluate the responses of the surface PM2.5 level to the emission mitigation. Generally, the predicted PM2.5 spatial patterns and temporal variations agree well with the observations at the ambient monitoring sites. Sensitivity studies show that the emissions in the basin need to be mitigated by more than 91% to meet the excellent level of the China National Air Quality Standard under the extremely unfavorable meteorological conditions, demonstrating that it is imperative to implement stringent controls on emissions to improve the air quality.

Impacts of using an ensemble Kalman filter on air quality simulations along the California-Mexico border region during Cal-Mex 2010 field campaign.

The purpose of this study is to investigate the impact of using an ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) on air quality simulations in the California-Mexico border region on two days (May 30 and June 04, 2010) during Cal-Mex 2010. The uncertainties in ozone (O3) and aerosol simulations in the border area due to the meteorological initial uncertainties were examined through ensemble simulations. The ensemble spread of surface O3 averaged over the coastal region was less than 10ppb. The spreads in the nitrate and ammonium aerosols are substantial on both days, mostly caused by the large uncertainties in the surface temperature and humidity simulations. In general, the forecast initialized with the EnKF analysis (EnKF) improved the simulation of meteorological fields to some degree in the border region compared to the reference forecast initialized with NCEP analysis data (FCST) and the simulation with observation nudging (FDDA), which in turn leading to reasonable air quality simulations. The simulated surface O3 distributions by EnKF were consistently better than FCST and FDDA on both days. EnKF usually produced more reasonable simulations of nitrate and ammonium aerosols compared to the observations, but still have difficulties in improving the simulations of organic and sulfate aerosols. However, discrepancies between the EnKF simulations and the measurements were still considerably large, particularly for sulfate and organic aerosols, indicating that there are still ample rooms for improvement in the present data assimilation and/or the modeling systems.